The AI Revolution Is Underhyped | Eric Schmidt | TED

章节 1：AlphaGo时刻——非人类智能的觉醒与革命起点

📝 本节摘要：

本章节回顾了2016年AlphaGo与李世石对战的历史性时刻。主持人Bilawal Sidhu通过一张照片引出话题，询问Eric Schmidt当时看到了什么常人未察觉的趋势。Schmidt详细解释了AlphaGo在第二局中那步“惊世骇俗”的棋步——这是AI基于保持50%以上胜率的概率计算，在拥有2500年历史的围棋中创造出的全新策略。这一事件让Schmidt及其同僚意识到，计算机已经具备了创造人类未曾设想的新知识的能力，这标志着本次AI革命的真正开端。

[原文] Bilawal Sidhu: Eric Schmidt, thank you for joining us. Let's go back. You said the arrival of non-human intelligence is a very big deal. And this photo, taken in 2016, feels like one of those quiet moments where the Earth shifted beneath us, but not everyone noticed. What did you see back then that the rest of us might have missed?

[译文] Bilawal Sidhu: Eric Schmidt，感谢你的到来。让我们回顾过去。你说过非人类智能的到来是一件非常重大的事情。这张拍摄于2016年的照片，感觉就像是那些地球在我们脚下发生巨变但并非每个人都注意到的静谧时刻之一。当时你看到了什么我们其他人可能错过的东西？

[原文] Eric Schmidt: In 2016, we didn't understand what was now going to happen, but we understood that these algorithms were new and powerful. What happened in this particular set of games was in roughly the second game, there was a new move invented by AI in a game that had been around for 2,500 years that no one had ever seen.,

[译文] Eric Schmidt: 在2016年，我们并不理解接下来会发生什么，但我们明白这些算法是全新的且强大的。在这组特定的对局中发生的事情是，大约在第二局中，AI发明了一步新招，这是一种存在了2500年的游戏中从未有人见过的招式。

[原文] Technically, the way this occurred was that the system of AlphaGo was essentially organized to always maintain a greater than 50 percent chance of winning. And so it calculated correctly this move, which was this great mystery among all of the Go players who are obviously insanely brilliant, mathematical and intuitive players.

[译文] 从技术上讲，这之所以发生，是因为AlphaGo系统的组织方式本质上是为了始终保持大于50%的获胜概率。所以它正确地计算出了这步棋，而在所有那些显然极其聪明、具备数学头脑和直觉的围棋选手中，这步棋曾是一个巨大的谜团。

[原文] The question that Henry, Craig Mundie and I started to discuss, right, is what does this mean? How is it that our computers could come up with something that humans had never thought about?,

[译文] Henry、Craig Mundie和我开始讨论的问题是——对吧——这意味着什么？我们的计算机怎么能想出人类从未想过的东西？

[原文] I mean, this is a game played by billions of people. And that began the process that led to two books. And I think, frankly, is the point at which the revolution really started.

[译文] 我的意思是，这是一个数十亿人玩过的游戏。这开启了导致那两本书问世的过程。坦率地说，我认为这就是革命真正开始的时间点。